“This historical analysis of analogue cyclone seasons identical to the upcoming cyclone season suggest occurrence of a Category 5 is low,” said Mr Rarai. The next 10 names on the naming list are listed here below.. “It’s devastating to see another big cyclone affect Fiji so soon after Cyclone Harold and so close to Christmas,” the Red Cross’s Suva-based Pacific chief Kathryn Clarkson said.  Zazu continued to strengthen even as it began an extratropical transition, reaching Category 2 status on the Australian scale on December 15, despite struggling with the effects of westerly wind shear. (Japanese Meteorological Agency / Himawari-8)Tonga reels from Harold The cyclone, with wind gusts of up to …  At this stage, the system had a broad low level circulation and was located within a marginal environment for further development, with warm sea surface temperatures as well as moderate levels of vertical wind shear. The South Pacific tropical cyclone season officially began on Nov. 1, 2020 and will run through April 30, 2021. Inicio; Linha Onde de Cachos; Kit; Camiseta  However, environmental conditions were only marginally conducive for intensification, with strong vertical wind shear inhibiting further development. An average to slightly-above-average number of tropical cyclones are expected for the 2020–21 Australian tropical cyclone season (November–April). The last active period of the cyclone season occurred between 21 December 2019 to the first week of January 2020, which saw Tropical Cyclone SARAI (Cat1) cross between Tongatapu and Ha’apai on New Year’s Day. On December 13, 15:00 UTC, 02F intensified into a Category 1 tropical cyclone Yasa according to Australian scale. In Australia's northern, central and eastern regions La Niña could mean extremely large rainfalls, deadly flash flooding and an early cyclone season start. Vanuatu + 10 more End of 2019/ 2020 South Pacific Cyclone Season Report - Localisation during Overlapping Responses: COVID-19 Pandemic & Tropical Cyclone Harold Format Analysis Source CID … The VAR is from 10S-23S and from 160E to 175E. Citation: Super cyclone hits Fiji bringing floods, landslides (2020, December 17) retrieved 21 December 2020 from https://phys.org This document is subject to copyright. The cyclone risks for Vanuatu this season in contrast to all tropical cyclone seasons is “average risk”. Tropical Cyclone Yasa struck the low-lying Pacific island nation of Fiji on Thursday evening local time, as one of the strongest storms to hit there. Suva, 16 December 2020 – Two tropical cyclones have formed in the Pacific, signaling the beginning of what is forecast to be a busy season for emergency responders across the region. Yasa continued its rapid intensification trend and further intensified to the equivalent of a high-end Category 4 tropical cyclone on the Saffir–Simpson scale (SSHWS), developing a well-defined and very clear eye, while continuing to become more symmetrical. Posted Thu Thursday 23 Jul July 2020 at 5:32am Thu Thursday 23 Jul July 2020 at 5:32am Category two Cyclone Sarai was one of the storms that battered the Pacific last season. ... to those forecast for 2020/21. The first tropical cyclone of the season is brewing across the South Pacific and it can bring impacts to Fiji and Vanuatu. The South Pacific tropical cyclone season is typically from 1 November to 30 April. On average, Vanuatu and its marginal seas is a common route to some 20 to 30 cyclones per decade, with 3 to 5 causing severe damage.  The storm then weakened and degenerated into a low pressure system later on December 12. (Japanese Meteorological Agency / Himawari-8)Vanuatu is already in a state of … Fiji. Damaging winds and flooding rain are possible impacts in Tonga. Yasa peaked as a low-end category 5 storm with 160 mph winds with a central pressure of 914 mb at 0Z Wednesday, and maintained category 5 strength through 12Z Wednesday. Tropical Cyclone "Harold" lashed Tonga on Thursday, April 9, 2020, after leaving major destruction across the Solomon Islands, Vanuatu, and Fiji. It have become extratropical on November 20. It includes their intensity on the Australian tropical cyclone intensity scale, duration, name, landfalls, deaths, and damages. Yasa is the second-strongest cyclone on record to make landfall in Fiji, behind Tropical Cyclone Winston, which hit Fiji’s Koro Island as a category 5 storm with 180 mph winds in 2016. ( … At a Glance. Weather Alert: Vanuatu, Potential for Tropical Cyclone Development Between December 13-17 The Vanuatu Meteorology and Geo-Hazards Department and the U.S. Joint Typhoon Warning Center advise that the likelihood for the development of a significant tropical cyclone in/around the Vanuatu Group between December 13 and December 17 is high.  Zazu also brought wind gusts up to 120 km/h (75 mph) to the island nation of Tonga, but no significant damage was reported.  At least one of these tropical cyclones was expected to intensify further and become a Category 3 or higher severe tropical cyclone.. Yasa continued its weakening trend as it turned southward, dropping to Category 1 tropical cyclone status late on December 18. The BoM also predicted that the Eastern Region between 165°E and 120°W, had a 45% chance of seeing activity above its average of 6 tropical cyclones. Tropical Cyclone Season in the South Pacific Ocean began November 1, 2020 and ends on April 30, 2021. , Tropical Disturbance 02F was first noted by the FMS during December 11, while it was located about 800 km (495 mi) to the northeast of Port Villa in Vanuatu. “However, the occurrence of those types of storm systems have occurred in the past and cannot be ruled out.”. On average, at least 2-3 cyclones hit Vanuatu every year. Ahead of the cyclone season formally starting, the Fiji Meteorological Service (FMS), Australian Bureau of Meteorology (BoM), New Zealand's MetService and National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA) and various other Pacific Meteorological services, all contributed towards the Island Climate Update tropical cyclone outlook that was released during October 2020.  A few hours later, the FMS estimated maximum 10-minute sustained winds to be at 55 km/h (34 mph), with a minimum central atmospheric pressure of 998 hPa (29.47 inHg). We’ll have additional updates over the weekend for those in Vanuatu tracking this Tropical Cyclone. The Vanuatu Natural Disaster Management Office has a colour-coded cyclone alert system which was updated in October 2020. Waibuta said another cyclone was forecast to emerge tonight which could impact the Tongan islands of Vava'u while at category one strength. Fiji: Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasa Situation Report No. Cyclone Harold devastated parts of Vanuatu and Fiji intensifying to a Category Five storm at its height. The Vanuatu Meteorology and Geo-Hazards Department (VMGD) said on Monday that at least two to four tropical cyclones are expected to pass through the island nation during the 2020/2021 season. TANNA Tropical Cyclone Harold will scrape Tonga after hammering parts of Fiji and Vanuatu. , In addition to contributing towards the Island Climate Update outlook, the FMS and the BoM issued their own seasonal forecasts for the South Pacific region. Sorry, there are no recent results for popular videos. VMGD said the cyclone risk for the 2020/2021 season, compared to others is “normal to normal-elevated risk”.  The system's organisation improved steadily over the next few days, and at 12:00 UTC on December 13, the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) upgraded the depression to a tropical storm on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane wind scale. During December 8, the FMS reported that Tropical Disturbance 01F had developed about 145 km (90 mi) to the northeast of Apia in Samoa. Cite error: The named reference "TDS Dec 11 00z" was defined multiple times with different content (see the, 2020–21 South-West Indian Ocean cyclone season, Australian Tropical Cyclone Intensity Scale, National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research, a brief interaction with Tropical Depression 01F, List of Southern Hemisphere cyclone seasons, Tropical Cyclone Guidance for Season 2010/11 for the Fiji and the Southwest Pacific, 2020/21 RSMC Nadi Tropical Cyclone Outlook, Southwest Pacific Tropical Cyclone Outlook - October 2020, "South Pacific Tropical Cyclone Outlook for 2020 to 2021", Tropical Disturbance Summary December 8, 2020 09z, Significant Tropical Weather Advisory December 8, 2020 11z, Tropical Disturbance Summary December 11, 2020 09z, "Tropical Depression 01F Disturbance Advisory #4 (00Z)", "Final Warning, Remnant of Tropical Cyclone 04P", "Tropical Cyclone Yasa 1st of the season for South Pacific", "Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (TD 02F) (0330Z)", "Tropical Depression 02F Disturbance Advisory #1 (00Z)", "Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert (Invest 91P)", "Tropical Cyclone 05P (Five) Warning #01", "Tropical Cyclone Yasa Disturbance Advisory 5 (13Z)", "TROPICAL CYCLONE 05P (YASA) WARNING NR 012", "Severe Tropical Cyclone Yasa Disturbance Advisoru Number 8 (00Z)", "Tropical Cyclone 05P (Yasa) Warning #14", "Tropical Cyclone Yasa Disturbance Advisory #15 (18Z)", "Tropical Cyclone Zazu, Storm Warning 054 (00Z)", Tropical Cyclone Potential Bulletin December 16, 2020 23z, "Category 2 Cyclone Zazu Update: Yellow Alert for Niue", "Niue's only wharf slammed by massive waves whipped up by Cyclone Zazu", "Tonga hit by Cyclone Zazu as second system strengthens", Tropical Cyclone Operational Plan for the South-East Indian Ocean and the Southern Pacific Ocean 2020, "Fiji reports 4 deaths due to tropical cyclone Yasa", https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=2020–21_South_Pacific_cyclone_season&oldid=995941462, Southern Hemisphere tropical cyclone seasons, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License, Category 5 severe tropical cyclone (Australian scale), Category 2 tropical cyclone (Australian scale), This page was last edited on 23 December 2020, at 18:14. By RNZ. The average numbers of tropical cyclones during the season in the western and eastern regions are six and four, respectively. The cyclone is the strongest to hit Vanuatu since Cyclone Pam in 2015.  At the same time, the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) issued a tropical cyclone formation alert for the system. The cyclone is the strongest to hit Vanuatu since Cyclone Pam in 2015. The season officially started on November 1, 2020 and will end on April 30, 2021, however a tropical cyclone could form at any time between July 1, 2020 and June 30, 2021 and would count towards the season total. After making landfall, Yasa moved into an area of unfavourable conditions, causing the storm to rapidly weaken, with Yasa weakening into a Category 3 severe tropical cyclone later that day. 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